Latest Polls
There seems to be something of a stalemate. Labour holds its own in the low thirties. The Tories in the upper thirties are ahead, but not far enough to break clear and win a majority. The average position is very similar to the beginning of March. It looks as if noises off, Ashcroft, Unite etc, can have a short blip effect, but have little lasting impact. There is still a feeling around that nobody is sure what the Tories would actually do if they won. Few people trust Labour to tell the whole truth in next week’s Budget.
This makes one set of figures rather interesting. In job approval ratings, Brown is at -28, Cameron is at +10, but, and this could a big but and get bigger, Nick Clegg is at + 20. Coming on top of a report that Vince Cable has had a briefing with the Treasury mandarins about his economic policy, it is clear that a Hung Parliament is being prepared for. It may very well be that Nick and Vince will have a bigger part to play than people expect.