Archive for June 24th, 2016

The UK : A Crisis Begins

Friday, June 24th, 2016

The United Kingdom is now entering the most critical period of uncertainty and crisis management since the end of the Second World War. Yes there have been problems before, but they have always been at a level which did not throw into doubt where the country was trying to go, how it was going to pay its way, with whom and on what terms it was going to trade and above all, of what would the United Kingdom in future consist?

We now, on Referendum  plus .75 of a day, have a lame duck caretaker government with a shattered prime minister, a cumbersome electoral process for the ill-starred and sundered Tory party to elect a new leader to form a new government creating great political uncertainty, shares and the pound in turmoil, warnings of a ratings downgrade, pressure on the banks and the very likely prospect that Scotland will break away to independence in order to remain in the EU, with the further prospect that Northern Ireland may well leave the UK to unite with the Republic of Ireland.

Meanwhile business investment is all but grinding to a halt, since such is the confusion, no rational manager can determine what the future holds and where the opportunities might beckon. That in turn will trigger a downturn in a country not yet out of the clutches of the aftermath of the 2008 crash. And all of this self inflicted so that we can ‘take back control’, ‘set ourselves free’, and become ‘independent again’.

I beg your pardon?

Brexit Win :The Morning After

Friday, June 24th, 2016

There were some who said if Brexit won nothing much would happen the next day.

Well so far the pound has had a record plunge, shares opened by falling off a cliff, the Bank of England had to issue a statement of reassurance, then the Governor had to appear in person to outline emergency measures had been put in place to prop up the banks if once again they run into trouble as their shares fell by as much as 30% and the Prime Minister has resigned.

And it is not yet 9.30 am.

Actually it looks like quite a day. One to remember perhaps?