A way Ahead This blog has kept neutral throughout this election campaign. Most of its analysis has been born out by events. This is how things now stand. Arithmetically in terms of seats a Con/Lib coalition looks sound and has a good majority, so, the argument goes, it would be stable and would offer strong government. […]
Euro Relief The support package put together by the Euro finance ministers has brought cheer to the markets. There will be no immediate defaults. However certain problems remain to be solved. Not least is a better degree of economic control over Euro countries which must have authority, even if it falls short of a Federal […]
Calculating Backwards The plain speaking Thatcherite and champion of the Tory Right, Lord Tebbit is reported to have launched a blistering attack on his party leader, David Cameron, urging him to go it alone with a minority government on the basis that 77% of the voters ‘rejected’ Clegg and his party. Using the same arithmetic 64% […]
Fair Votes There was a noisy demonstration of support for Nick Clegg outside the Lib Dem HQ today. When the real talks begin tomorrow it would be worthwhile for the Tories to remember that while they have 5.5 times more seats than the Lib Dems, they only have 1.5 times more votes. Considering the money […]
The Electoral Reality There are two ways of looking at this, but first let us return for one moment to the campaigns. Labour’s was a success. The campaign itself was often off track, but at no stage was it off message. That message was simple. We are on your side, we know what we are […]
So who won? If you take a simple view, it is Cameron. But it is not simple. The irony of it all is that although the LibDems failed altogether to capitalise as much as polls suggested they would post the first TV debate and their figures were the most truly unexpected and disappointing of all, […]
Confusion Neither the commentators nor the politicians have slept, nobody knows what is going to happen, some people, a good many, could not even vote. That is very bad. On top of this, the outcome thus far has one very big surprise; the failure of the Liberal Democrat campaign to make the headway thought certain. It is too early […]
Now We Wait This blog identifies trends and opportunities but it is not in the predictions business. Almost everybody in that business is predicting a hung parliament. We will now look at the best outcome for each party. The Tories They started this year so far ahead in the polls there was talk of Labour facing […]
Greek Bail Out. There are those who say that the level of Greek borrowing is unsustainable and to borrow more will make matters even worse, leading to default within five years. They argue better to default now. Against this the argument goes that the euro would not survive long term if its members do not […]
Oil Spill America, with its extravagant use of energy resources of all kinds and especially gasoline, needs to pause and consider. Lives have been lost and a vast Eco disaster may be in prospect because of a refusal to stomach the idea of using less, first proposed by President Carter. The plea, ignored then and […]