Archive for June 10th, 2017

Election 2017: Some Figures

Saturday, June 10th, 2017

There is no doubt the Tories won the election in total seat numbers, but as a measure of the direction of travel, seats alone are not enough. You need also to look at the votes and especially the increase in votes. Here are some figures for you to compare. The Tories lost 13 seats, gained 2.3 million votes and increased their vote share by 5.5%. Labour gained 30 seats, added 3.5 million votes and upped their share by 9.8%. Labour clearly has the more impressive advance.

The total votes polled by the Tories in 2017 was 13,667,213.     Labour scored 12,874,985. The Tories clearly achieved the most votes but the margin is not great, well below 1 million. Labour’s total looks even more impressive when compared to the 8.6 million of Gordon Brown in 2010.

An alliance between Tories and the DUP would account for 13,959,529 million votes. A Progressive Alliance comprising Labour, SNP, Lib Dems, Plaid Cymru and Greens would total 16,914,113 million. That is nearly 3 million more than the Tory alliance. Remember that figure. It may become critical over the next few days. When the Corbyn team talk of forming a government they have clearly looked at those figures too. Moreover their partners would be similar in outlook and decent. The DUP are anathema to everybody except the delusional May.

May’s New Government:Where Is It?

Saturday, June 10th, 2017

Yesterday May went to see the Queen, then stood in Downing Street and announced that, with the support of her friends the DUP, she was forming a new government. So where is it?

The government seems to have vanished. No ministers have been seen going in and out of  Number Ten, as is normal at times like this. Not a single Cabinet minister has appeared in public or given an interview since the shock outcome of the election. Last night one of them,Chris Grayling, appeared on an election edition of Any Questions and if you listened to his answers with a seasoned political ear, he had no idea what was going on.

This Blog smells a rat. I think there might be a crisis. I am not sure the Cabinet is backing May.  There are clues that all is not going to plan. She does everything without consulting colleagues. Well maybe this DUP thing is a step too far. Maybe the grandees will  not run with this.

Perhaps it will be over sooner than we think.