Libya: Now For The Future

By comparison to Iraq and Afghanistan, Libya has been a triumph of arms and politics, especially for France and Britain, who led the calls for intervention. The difference between the hot headed, ill thought out and destructive adventures of Bush and Blair could not be more obvious.

The universal jubilation in Libya at the death of Gaddafi is extraordinary. It provides eloquent testimony to the covert hatred in which this dictator’s subjects held him, in spite of his declarations of their love for him. It is testimony also to the cruelty and suppression of the Gaddafi years, with the murders, torture and beatings. There is controversy over the apparent summary execution of a pleading Gaddafi by a seething mob of freedom fighters and this disturbs all those in the world who hoped for formal justice and retribution. What happened is similar to the end for Mussolini, whose rigid corpse was strung from a lamp post after execution by partisans. Italians shed few tears at this barbarity. What matters to Libyans, indeed all that matters, is that their tormentor is dead. How he died is beside the point, if it was cruel he deserved it.

The NTC has tried to put a gloss of cross-fire to explain. This kind of public relations cannot work in the age of the smart phone. In any case the NTC has no real control over the fighters who caught him and killed him. This is the nub of everything.

Whether Libya will be remembered by history as a triumph or a disaster, depends on what happens from now on. Can this enthusiastic and likable people, who formed themselves into one of the most ill disciplined military forces in history, equipped with the oddest mixture of home-made weapons ever seen, yet who relentlessly attacked and defeated well equipped government forces and wiped them out, make that leap from revolution to democracy without chaos and bloodshed in between?

The answer is yes they can. But not alone. Just as their victory was dependent on the West using its military assets to support them, so their reconstruction into a modern and inclusive democracy will require the support of the whole of the West’s structure of governance and institutional expertise to create the framework in which the goal can be made real. It is over for the uniforms, but time for the suits. If they help the Libyan people to do it their own way, just as the military did, the future for all Libyans could be golden.

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