Brexit: Hague Warns

William Hague was always regarded as a Euro sceptic. But he now warns that, for all its faults, Britain is better off in than out; the same view as this blog. He also warns, as this blog has done for months, that a vote to leave which would be achieved by the weight of English votes, would lead to the end of the United Kingdom. Scotland, which is pro the EU simply would not be willing to be yanked out against its will and a new referendum would take it out of the UK for certain. Wales and Northern Ireland would be left in difficulty. They are both pro EU. The case for a united Ireland would become stronger. Wales would have little option but to grin and bear it, but the nationalist movement would gain ground as time went on. The out campaign waffle about trade deals but nobody offers even a hint of what these would be; either with whom or on what terms. They do not  discuss the impact on the integrity of the UK. They know they cannot because they have no answer. Hague’s intervention will come as a blow to their pride.

Few discuss the effect on the EU itself of a British exit. It is becoming clear that it could be a disaster for the whole project. Europe has four major pillars. Britain, Germany, France and Russia. Foolishly Russia is excluded, so it holds up with three pillars. Take Britain away and you are left with France and Germany. But Germany is by far the stronger economically and would bear the weight and call the shots. The EU would be the new German Empire in all but name. This is just beginning to dawn upon many European capitals. No wonder the Polish President is anxious.

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