A month ago this blog was confident that when the vote finally comes, the UK will vote to remain part of the EU. Now I am not so sure. The reason for these doubts which I know are shared by many, is that several things are going wrong in Europe at once, which give an impression of muddled vision, weak governance, lack of strategic planning and a failure of common purpose.
The key areas are the fiasco of Greece, the failure to agree a common policy to receive desperate migrants, most of whom are fleeing conflicts and persecutions fanned by policies supported by or originating from Europe, indigestion from too much eastward expansion creating an over diverse Union with widely differing aspirations and values between North and South, West and East leading to drift and division and finally the problem of the UK and its future relationship.
All of these things could be solved by a strategic view, a logical and practical plan based on fact not fancy, sound governance and a common purpose. But none of this is in evidence at all anywhere except in Germany and its view is not shared by very many of the other nations in an enterprise which not long ago seemed forever, but so much of European history, looks increasingly here today and gone tomorrow. It is not too late to get a grip, but the time when it will be is not that far down the track.