The historic significance of the deal achieved by Cameron to reduce EU spending was not the fact that it happened, but how. The how part may have far reaching impact not just on the budget, but on the future shape of the EU and especially Britain’s place in it.
For most of the history of the EU and its previous incarnation of the EEC, France and Germany (initially West Germany) have been the natural partners against whom Britain had to argue its case. Indeed it was the alliance between these two former enemies which was the foundation of unity across the whole continent and contributed in no small measure the the idea that Britain saw itself as left out or only a part time member. Nevertheless it stood it’s ground, fought it’s corner and mostly got its way.
Partly for electoral reasons and partly because of genuine sympathy for the British view of financial realism, Germany abandoned its former partner France and went with Britain. The force was unstoppable. France had to gave in. Everybody else had to fall into line. This is one of the most significant events in the history of the EU.
Because, although they fought against each other twice, it is the two great protestant powers, Britain and Germany, who are historical friends. This is why we have a German royal line to replace the one with French connections and Catholic leanings. This is why the Prussians helped save the day for Wellington at Waterloo. This is why the consorts of Victoria, Edward VII and George V came from Germany. This is why all Prince Philip’s blood is not Greek, but German.
When the two friends fell out, largely due initially to the unbalanced Kaiser Wilhelm II, Europe suffered its most terrible period of destruction, slaughter, depravity and human suffering in all its history. As far as the EU goes the partnership between Germany and France has produced a bureaucratic and uncompetitive economy and an ungovernable currency. It has also produced peace and that for sure is the greatest prize of all. But if Germany and Britain walked hand in glove again, not only would peace be guaranteed no matter what, but Europe would be knocked into a competitive shape with a well managed currency. It would also join China as one of the two world superpowers of the twenty first century.
Food for thought. Merkel is already thinking. If Cameron does likewise he will save himself, his party and the Union with Scotland. The two together will give the EU a future transformed.