I use the plural because there are so many. Brexit, Constitution, Ireland, Parliament, underfunding of Public Services, Social Care are just the main centres of a gathering storm. So far the Boris government has had a pretty free rein with parliament in recess. The new team of campaigners and ministers surrounding him have kept up an optimistic barrage of predictions, promises and proposals, almost all of which have at once been shot down by a variety of commentators with knowledge of the issue. As a senior Lib Dem yesterday remarked ‘you cannot govern by headlines’.
So no predictions, bar this one. Boris is first about Boris being prime minister, second about his place in history as a great and popular leader and third about Brexit. If sticking to a crash Brexit will put the Union in jeopardy and his fabled ‘bumps in the road’ start to throw innocents out of the wagon, his government will be toast. He will become the shortest serving prime minister in British history. This is not a record he wishes to claim.
Therefore expect there to emerge something of a fudge which will be a Brexit not unlike the one promoted by Theresa May. He could still be toast, but the toasting fork might be in different hands.