Labour Goes Over The Cliff

Things in politics can become chaotic, but like the financial markets today, can steady and settle at a new norm. But every now and then both run out of control and go over the cliff. This is what is happening to Labour now.

There are at present two prospects open. A war between the parliamentary party and the party members which the members will win, keeping Corbyn as leader, giving birth to a much more left wing party than we have seen sinceĀ 1945, which will then go on a re-selection binge and change the character of the parliamentary party with one rooted in communities across the land and detached from the establishment, and especially the Westminster establishment. This new socialist political force will be too embryonic to win any snap election if the Five Year Parliament legislation is repealed on the election of a new Prime Minster and will lose seats, but at the next it will win a landslide. Just as at the end of WWII the people kicked out Churchill whose party had both taken them into the war and won it, they will decide to back Labour for the programme of rebuilding a fairer society after Brexit is complete. And it will be a landslide because when England decides to change, it does it fast. I say England because by then Scotland will be going or gone.

Or Corbyn will be sacrificed for some unifying leader of whom few have previously heard, who will promote a policy of all things to everyone form the dear old centre ground. In that event UKIP will move in a seize the high ground of the left, just as the SNP have in Scotland and Labour will lose every election which comes along as far as the eye can see.

There may be a third possibility, but at the moment this blog cannot see it.

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