All or most polls give Leave the lead and that certainly suggests the tide is turning in Leave’s favour. This is because Remain have overdone their threats of economic meltdown without reminding voters of the historic significance of the EU achievement and the contribution it makes to the quality of life and freedoms we enjoy today. It has failed to counter the wild economic assertions made by Leave including the promised cash splash in our favour if we go, until these ideas are too deeply embedded to be successfully challenged before polling day. Remain started the immigration fear with stupid promises about reducing numbers which cannot be delivered, which Leave now claim can only be delivered if we exit the EU. Which is a false claim because if we want to trade with the EU free movement will be the price. Remain has failed to make the point that we make a profit out of immigration and without it taxes will have to go up.
With just over a week to go there may be a swing back to Remain, Labour voters may mobilise to vote to back the EU, enough young people may have registered to turn the tide, because they rightly see themselves part of something bigger than just the UK as European Citizens able to travel, work and live freely wherever they choose. Or maybe none of that will happen in which case we are marching headlong to the Exit. But Exit to what?
And that is the point. Leave has no idea, but talks in lofty terms about a new Utopia of a free trading nation, rich and independent striding wherever across the globe. Maybe one day. Maybe never. All the financial indicators are set at danger in a global economy once again dangerously over leveraged and out of balance. Brexit will be a major economic shock, not just for the UK, but for Europe and the global financial system. Will it cope? Or does the ghost of Lehman rise before us?
One thing is for sure. If Cameron loses, he is toast. Your problem is so may your job, your prospects and your aspirations be toast too. To get them back you may have to bake a new loaf with different ingredients in the mix. It could taste a lot better. But it will take quite a time. Meanwhile you could get rather hungry.
Think before you vote. It is your choice. But you will have to live not just with it, but in it. For the rest of your life.