Some Election Numbers The big question now is whether Nick Clegg’s success in the first TV debate starts a surge towards the third party. This may not be a disaster for Brown, although it would be if all the seats gained by Lib Dems came from Labour. It is as likely that a Lib Dem surge […]
Marginals Poll There is a new poll of the 100 top marginals which the Tories must win. This shows a 12% swing which the Telegraph, who publish the poll, says puts Cameron on track for a convincing win. It is true that the Tory lead is slightly better in most polls since the launch of their […]
Lib Dem Manifesto This is by far the best so far. This does not mean that this blog supports every proposal or has abandoned its neutrality. Nor does it mean this Manifesto it is without flaws. If the Lib Dems get to form a government, no commentator takes this prospect seriously, they would have to put up taxes or cut more […]
The Conservative Manifesto. I am not quite sure what to make of this. I would have expected a much more robust approach to cutting the deficit, reducing the size and scope of government and re-invigorating industry to provide local employment and improve the balance of payments. The Tories will argue that it is there in […]
Labour’s Manifesto I am not sure what effect, if any, manifestos have on campaigns at the time. They are often quoted later if the winning party fails to fulfil its promises when in Government. We have three manifestos out this week for the main parties. Labour was first today. There is nothing in this which […]
Resilience It is difficult to grasp the scope of the disaster which has befallen the Poles with the loss not only of their President, but also so many of their key leaders from the military, Church and business. The fact that they were on their way to honour the memory of an earlier elite gives […]
Polls The latest for the Sun shows the Tory lead falling by three points. At the same time respondents mostly thought the Tories were running the best campaign and Cameron was best at getting his message across. Essentially the polls are bouncing around the same two or three points up one moment for the Tories, down the […]
Organ Donation Apparently there has been another blunder when organs have been removed without prior authorisation of the patient or permission form the family. I do not go with this. There seems to be confusion between the body and the person. When someone dies the person is no longer there. Where they are or whether is a […]
Married Couples Whether the latest Tory tax break for married couples will attract other than their core voters is open to question. On the wider point I do think it is unfortunate, when there are such huge cuts causing a really noticeable diminution in public services and significant numbers of public sector job losses, waiting […]